European qos yaj ywm ua lag luam yog bracing rau ib tug nyuaj xyoo raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshiab los ntawm Expana forecasts ib tug tseem ceeb poob ntawm qos yaj ywm sau nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws. Raws li kev soj ntsuam zaum kawg, European qos yaj ywm sau nyob rau hauv 2024 yuav tsum ncav cuag 20.7 lab tonnes, ib tug 8.8% poob los ntawm 2023 yield. Qhov kev txo qis hauv kev tsim khoom no feem ntau yog vim huab cua tsis zoo thiab qhov nce ntawm cov kab mob kis thoob plaws thaj chaw loj hlob qos yaj ywm, tshwj xeeb hauv Northwest Europe.
Huab cua thiab kab mob cuam tshuam cov qos yaj ywm tawm thoob plaws Europe
Txawm hais tias qhov kev cia siab ntawm 4-6% xyoo dhau ib xyoo nce hauv qos hectarage rau 2024, cov xwm txheej tsis zoo tau cuam tshuam kev loj hlob thiab kev tawm los. NEPG (North-Western European Potato Growers) thaj tsam, uas suav nrog cov qos yaj ywm loj xws li Belgium, Netherlands, Fabkis, thiab Lub Tebchaws Yelemees, tau cuam tshuam tshwj xeeb los ntawm huab cua ntub thaum lub caij cog qoob loo. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, EU Commission lub yim hli ntuj yield forecast for 2024 stands at 35.1 tonnes per hectare, down 4.6% from the year's yield of 36.8 tonnes per hectare. Qhov kev kwv yees no kuj tseem yog 1% qis dua qhov nruab nrab tsib xyoos.
Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm huab cua tsis zoo yog qhov tshaj tawm hauv Belgium thiab Netherlands, qhov twg cov txiaj ntsig tau xav tias yuav poob qis los ntawm 11% thiab 6% xyoo dhau los, raws li. Fabkis thiab lub teb chaws Yelemees kuj tau cuam tshuam, nrog kev kwv yees tawm los ntawm 4% thiab 2%, feem, piv rau 2023.
Cov teb chaws Europe yav qab teb qhia txog kev ua siab ntev
Thaum Northern thiab Western Europe tab tom ntsib cov teeb meem tseem ceeb, cov teb chaws Europe yav qab teb zoo li Spain thiab Portugal tau zoo dua, ua tsaug rau cov dej siv tau zoo uas tau txo qhov cuam tshuam ntawm qhov kub thiab txias. Cov ntawv ceeb toom los ntawm cheeb tsam qhia tias cov qos yaj ywm cov qoob loo tseem nyob hauv qhov nruab nrab, nrog kev txhim kho kom muaj nyob thoob plaws xyoo 2024-2025 kev lag luam (MY). Qhov feem ntau cov qoob loo qhuav nyob rau hauv cov cheeb tsam no kuj tau ua rau cov qos yaj ywm zoo thiab khaws cia ntau dua, piv rau cov neeg sib sau ua ke hauv cov dej ntub dej hauv xyoo 2023.
Market Outlook rau 2024-2025
Txawm hais tias qhov kev kwv yees poob qis hauv kev tsim khoom tag nrho, cov neeg ua lag luam tseem ceeb ceev faj txog kev muaj qos yaj ywm rau lub xyoo tom ntej. Kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm cov qos yaj ywm zoo dua thiab cov qoob loo zoo dua hauv qee thaj tsam tuaj yeem pab sib npaug ntawm cov khoom qis dua. Txawm li cas los xij, cov kev cov nyom uas tau ntsib los ntawm Northern thiab Western Europe qhia txog qhov ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm cov qos yaj ywm ntau ntxiv rau huab cua huab cua thiab kis kab mob.
EU Commission qhov kev kwv yees qhia txog qhov xav tau kev nqis peev txuas ntxiv hauv kev ua liaj ua teb tshiab thiab kev nyab xeeb ntawm huab cua. Cov neeg ua liaj ua teb hauv cheeb tsam cuam tshuam yuav xav tau txais cov tswv yim tshiab rau kev tswj hwm kab mob thiab kev tiv thaiv qoob loo, nrog rau tshawb nrhiav cov qos yaj ywm uas muaj zog dua thiab hloov tau ntau yam los txo cov kev pheej hmoo yav tom ntej.
Kev lag luam qos yaj ywm European ntsib kev nyuaj rau xyoo tom ntej, nrog 8.8% poob rau xyoo 2024 sau vim muaj huab cua nyuaj thiab kab mob. Txawm hais tias qee thaj chaw xws li Spain thiab Portugal xav tias yuav tsim cov qos yaj ywm zoo dua, tag nrho cov khoom lag luam txo qis ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj zuj zus ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua ntawm European kev ua liaj ua teb. Tsiv mus tom ntej, txhim kho kev rov qab los ntawm kev tsim kho tshiab thiab kev coj ua hloov pauv yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb rau kev txhawb nqa kev tsim khoom nyob rau hauv lub ntsej muag ntawm cov teeb meem no.
